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12/29/2006 - (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - In the end, will it really matter?
That existential question faces the Jacksonville Jaguars and Kansas City Chiefs on Sunday afternoon at Arrowhead Stadium, as the two AFC Wild Card hopefuls will seek a win and some substantial help elsewhere in the league in order to make their postseason dreams come to fruition.
Both 8-7 teams are likely to be peering at the out-of-town scoreboard as they do battle, since each will require simultaneous early-game losses from the Bengals against Pittsburgh and the Titans versus the New England Patriots.
If the Jaguars come out on top on Sunday, they will need a third 1pm Eastern game, the Jets/Raiders tussle at the Meadowlands, to break in favor of 2-13 Oakland.
Should the Chiefs prevail, they would also require a late-game loss for the homestanding Denver Broncos against 6-9 San Francisco.
So...who's ready to talk about offseason needs?
Jacksonville put itself in its current predicament by losing its two most recent games, with last week's 24-21 home loss to the Patriots coming seven days after a disheartening 24-17 loss in Tennessee. If the Jaguars fail to reach the postseason for the sixth time in the last seven years, they will also forego an opportunity to win a playoff game for the first time since 1999.
Speaking of no playoff wins since the 90's, Kansas City is on the brink of unlucky season number 13 without a postseason victory. The Chiefs haven't won a playoff game since 1993, which marks the league's third-longest current drought behind only the Bengals (1990) and Lions (1991). Kansas City last reached the postseason in 2003.
Herm Edwards' team gave itself a window of hope, albeit a slim one, with last Saturday's 20-9 win in Oakland. The Chiefs had previously hampered their chances during a three-game losing streak that included setbacks against the Browns (31-28 in overtime), Ravens (20-10), and Chargers (20-9).
Kansas City will be appearing at Arrowhead for the first time since the loss to Baltimore, which marked the franchise's first defeat in a December home game since 1996.
SERIES HISTORY
Jacksonville holds a 4-1 lead in its all-time series with Kansas City, including a 22-16 home victory when the teams last met, in Week 6 of the 2004 season. The Jaguars won the only matchup played between the teams at Arrowhead, a 23-16 triumph in 2002. Kansas City's only win against the Jags came in 2001, 30-26, on the road.
Edwards is 1-2 in his career against Jacksonville, with all of those matchups dating back to his tenure with the Jets (2001-05). The Jaguars' Jack Del Rio is 1-0 against the Chiefs, for whom he played in 1987-88, and is 1-1 head-to- head against Edwards. Del Rio and the Jags defeated Edwards' Jets, 26-20 in overtime, in Week 3 of last season.
JAGUARS OFFENSE VS. CHIEFS DEFENSE
Though much of the focus on Sunday will be on the Chiefs' Larry Johnson and his bid for the NFL rushing title, it is actually the Jaguars' running game that has a chance to carve out a more significant piece of history. With 105 rushing yards from rookie Maurice Jones-Drew (895 rushing yards, 42 receptions, 14 TD), he and Fred Taylor (1120 rushing yards, 5 TD, 22 receptions) will become the fourth running back tandem of all-time, and first since the Browns' Earnest Byner and Kevin Mack in 1985, to eclipse the 1,000- yard mark in the same season. Falcons running back Warrick Dunn and quarterback Michael Vick have also pulled off the feat in 2006. Jones-Drew drew a bit nearer to the four-digit mark last week, when he received a bulk of the rushing load in the absence of the injured Taylor, carrying 19 times for 131 yards and a pair of touchdowns against the Patriots. The UCLA product also contributed six catches for 41 yards out of the backfield. Taylor (hamstring), who missed his first game of the year, is regarded as probable for Sunday. Jacksonville is second in the league in rushing offense (161.9 yards per game), behind only Atlanta.
One week after allowing the Chargers' LaDainian Tomlinson to run wild for 199 yards, the Chiefs last week surrendered a career-high 90 yards on 19 carries to the Raiders' Justin Fargas. After being generally effective against the rush in the early stages of the season, Kansas City has slipped to 18th in NFL rushing defense (121 yards per game). The linebacking corps of Kawika Mitchell (101 tackles, 1.5 sacks, 1 INT) in the middle and Derrick Johnson (70 tackles, 4.5 sacks) and Kendrell Bell (49 tackles, 1 sack) on the outside did make an impact against the Raiders, however. Mitchell had seven tackles to go along with a sack and a forced fumble; Johnson posted a team-high nine stops and a fumble recovery; and Bell notched nine tackles in the game. In the trenches, tackle James Reed (36 tackles, 1 sack) came up with three tackles and interior mate Ron Edwards (19 tackles, 2.5 sacks) provided a presence with his 320- pound frame.
Stating perhaps his final argument for his abilities as an NFL starting quarterback this week will be Jacksonville's David Garrard (1595 passing yards, 9 TD, 8 INT), who has been hot-and-cold since taking over for the injured Byron Leftwich (ankle) in late October. Garrard has a mediocre starting record (5-4) and passer rating (80.8) on the year, but the four ratings of 100 or better that the athletic signal-caller has produced are perhaps an indication of his potential. Garrard played well against the Patriots last week, completing 17-of-23 passes for 195 yards with a touchdown and a key fumble that he suffered while being sacked on Jacksonville's ill- fated final drive. Matt Jones (36 receptions, 4 TD) was Garrard's most effective receiver, hauling in four passes for 69 yards and a touchdown, while fellow wideouts Reggie Williams (46 receptions, 4 TD) and Ernest Wilford (34 receptions, 2 TD) were limited to two grabs each. Also finishing with two catches was tight end George Wrighster (37 receptions, 3 TD). The Jacksonville o-line has allowed 27 sacks on the year, which ranks them middle-of-the-NFL pack.
Playing the aerial-challenged Raiders allowed a Chiefs defense that had struggled to make plays in both the secondary and pass rush an opportunity to fill up the box score. Kansas City forced five turnovers versus Oakland, including four by quarterback Andrew Walter, and sacked Walter a total of four times. Rookie safety Jarrad Page (31 tackles, 3 INT, 1 sack) and end Jared Allen (73 tackles, 7.5 sacks, 1 INT) were but two of the team's defensive heroes, with Page turning in the first two-interception game of his NFL career and Allen notching a sack and his NFL-leading fifth and sixth fumble recoveries of the year. Allen and fellow end Tamba Hali (56 tackles, 7 sacks) are 1-2 on the Chiefs in sacks. Helping Page in the secondary was cornerback Ty Law (62 tackles, 3 INT, 1 sack), who forced a pair of fumbles. Law and fellow corner Patrick Surtain (60 tackles, 1 INT) will match up with Jones and Williams on Sunday. Kansas City is 14th in the league against the pass (203.3 yards per game) as Week 17 commences.
CHIEFS OFFENSE VS. JAGUARS DEFENSE
Johnson (1651 rushing yards, 36 receptions, 16 TD) enters Week 17 trailing Tomlinson by 98 yards in his quest for the 2006 rushing title, and it is conceivable that Johnson could end up with the crown if San Diego chooses to rest Tomlinson in what could be a meaningless game against Arizona. What the two-time Pro Bowler has a clearer shot at is the NFL single-season record for most rushing attempts in a season. Johnson needs 28 carries this week to surpass the current mark of 410, set by the Falcons' Jamal Anderson in 1998. Johnson has logged 28 or more totes seven times this season, including last Saturday's 31-carry, 135-yard, one-touchdown win over the Raiders. If the Penn State product can amass his 11th 100-yard game of the year on Sunday, he would break his own year-old team record of 1,750 yards. Kansas City is eighth in NFL rushing offense (131.5 yards per game).
Getting to triple-digits will be a challenge for Johnson, who will face a high-quality Jacksonville front seven featuring massive tackles Marcus Stroud (20 tackles, 2.5 sacks) and John Henderson (49 tackles, 3.5 sacks) at its core. The Jaguars are third in the NFL in rushing defense (86 yards per game) and yards per carry allowed (3.4), and come off a week in which they allowed four New England running backs to combine for 86 yards on 20 carries. That total includes a key 27-yard touchdown run for Laurence Maroney in the fourth quarter, just the fifth run of 20 yards or longer against Jacksonville all season. Stroud and Henderson combined for seven tackles in the loss, and top run-stopping linebackers Clint Ingram (66 tackles, 1.5 sacks, 1 INT) and Daryl Smith (83 tackles, 2 sacks) combined for nine more. Stroud (ankle) is listed as probable on this week's injury report.
The deficiency of the Kansas City passing game will have to be addressed in the offseason, as the three principle members of that group - 36-year-old Trent Green (1161 passing yards, 6 TD, 7 INT), 33-year-old wide receiver Eddie Kennison (47 receptions, 4 TD), and 30-year-old tight end Tony Gonzalez (71 receptions, 5 TD) - are all past their prime. Meanwhile, young linchpins of the attack like No. 2 receiver Samie Parker (39 receptions, 1 TD) and left tackle Jordan Black have not played consistently well, melding into a situation that has seen Kansas City rank 21st in the league in passing offense (185 yards per game). Green was 12-of-24 for 148 yards against the Raiders last week, including a six-yard touchdown pass to Kennison (his only catch of the night) and an interception. Gonzalez helped move the chains with five grabs for 67 yards, and Parker was the team's most productive wideout with three catches totaling 48 yards. The Kansas City line has allowed 38 sacks on the year, including two of Green last Saturday.
A Jacksonville secondary already depleted by a season-ending injury to starting strong safety Donovin Darius (leg) could take another hit this week, as No. 1 free safety Deon Grant (54 tackles, 2 INT) is considered doubtful with a hamstring injury suffered last week. Undrafted rookie free agent Jamaal Fudge (4 tackles) would make his first career start if Grant can't go. Locking up on Kennison and Parker will be cornerbacks Rashean Mathis (58 tackles, 7 INT) and Brian Williams (52 tackles, 1 INT), both of whom have played well for much of the 2006 season. Mathis, who was last week named to his first career Pro Bowl, had five tackles against the Patriots. The pass rush managed just one sack of Tom Brady last Sunday, that by end Paul Spicer (38 tackles, 3 sacks), and the lack of pressure enabled Brady to complete 28 passes to 11 different targets. End Bobby McCray (33 tackles, 9 sacks) continues to lead the Jaguars in sacks. Jacksonville is 11th in the league against the pass (190.2 yards per game), but is further down the chart in sacks (32).
OVERALL ANALYSIS
The Chiefs have a little something to prove in this matchup, and that determination figures to go beyond whatever improbable maneuver it will take for the franchise to reach the postseason. Kansas City needs to take its late- season edge at Arrowhead back, has a running back it would like to see make one final run at an NFL rushing title, and wants to prove capable of beating a quality opponent after the recent losses to the Ravens and Chargers. Jacksonville, meanwhile, is a team that has shot itself in the foot in a multiple number of ways during its current two-game skid, and there is little reason to expect that to change in a hostile environment like that of Kansas City.
Sportsbook Betting Lines Predicted Outcome: Chiefs 28, Jaguars 20
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Tigers pound Delta Devils >>
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If the New York Giants fall to the Washington Redsk
My fellow Americans, as tempting as it may be to don the coat and HD-ready tie in order to deliver this State of the Game address before the cameras, I know better. As Brad Paisley sings on his latest album, "I'm so much cooler online."
The ideas for this annual essay to kick off the MySportsbook.com college football betting preview flowed like frat-house beer, which is to say they were cheap and spilled all over the floor. The 2007 season will be better than 2007, if only because there will be more of it. A year ago, the NCAA Football Rules Committee made two rule changes in the interest of speeding up the game. These changes went over like Kobe burgers at a vegan banquet.
To its credit, the rules committee rectified its mistakes. This season the clock once again will start when a kickoff is received, rather than when it is kicked, and the clock will not start so quickly on a change of possession.
However, kickoffs have been moved back five yards, to the 30, which will force more returns. (Thus forcing the clock to run. Clever, huh?) Special teams might decide a lot of games, because coaching strategy will come straight out of another new Paisley lyric (almost), I'd like to check you for kicks.
Paisley sings with a twang, which is why he's appropriate for this college football season. The sun coming up over the 2007 college football betting lines season rises from the south. It's a Southern football world. As the Southeastern Conference begins its 75th year, the power shift is noticeable.
Eight-figure budgets, glamorous settings -- and that's just for the head coaches. The SEC has four coaches who have won national championships -- the greatest aggregation of coaching know-how since Eddie Robinson dined alone.
Steve Spurrier, Phil Fulmer, Nick Saban and Urban Meyer have given lie to the idea that a conference championship game is too daunting a hurdle on the road to No. 1. In six of the past 10 seasons, the national champions played and won a conference championship game -- three of the six (Tennessee, 1998; LSU, 2003; Florida, 2007) from the SEC.
There will be more of the same this season, if the preseason prognostications are correct. Six SEC teams are in the preseason coaches' poll, more than from any other conference. Only one conference has talent so deep that a team with 15 returning starters, including the best quarterback in the league, from an eight-win season is considered an afterthought. That may speak more to Kentucky's losing legacy than to the wisdom of the predictions, but there you have it. And seriously, keep an eye on Wildcats QB Andre' Woodson.
The reach of the South extends all the way to No. 1. Take a look at the team that is a consensus pick to win the national championship. The quarterback is from Shreveport. The best wide receiver is from Nashville. The top recruit is from New Orleans.
So what's the campus doing in Los Angeles? Hey, it is the University of Southern California.
USC lost two Pacific-10 Conference games a year ago, the first time that had happened in five seasons, and university officials withstood the urge to form blue-ribbon panels to unearth the cause of such a disaster. Instead, the Trojans gathered themselves and routed Michigan, 32-18, in the Rose Bowl.
USC's losses at Oregon State and at UCLA last year should have given pause to those who question the Pac-10's football prowess (such as, without naming names, L.M. from Baton Rouge). The league only got deeper this season; Dennis Erickson is taking over an Arizona State team that never quite got out of its own way under his predecessor, Dirk Koetter.
Erickson will resume his quest to become the first coach to win a national championship at two schools. Both he and Spurrier, now in his third season at South Carolina, returned to college football at schools with lower profiles than where they won their titles.
That isn't the case for the third coach looking for the national championship double. You may have missed this, but NASA reported the astronauts on the space shuttle last spring made contact with what can only be described as beings from another galaxy.
The leader of the aliens said, "We come in peace," followed by, "So how do you think Nick Saban will do at Alabama?"
The public is reacting to the new Crimson Tide coach as if he is the Barry Bonds of college football -- beloved at home for what his fans believe he is going to do, hated on the road for his intimidating attitude and for what his detractors believe he did (bend NCAA recruiting rules). I made this comparison from the dais at a charity dinner in Mobile, Ala., last month, and the chill that washed over me didn't come from the air conditioning.
Saban will attempt to prove that he can remake in Tuscaloosa what he built in Baton Rouge, much like another member of the national championship fraternity. Bobby Bowden is attempting to remake at Florida State what he built at, um, Florida State. Bowden rebuilt his offensive staff, bringing in four new coaches led by Saban's former offensive coordinator, Jimbo Fisher, to jump-start an offense that has been dead for a couple of years.
The Atlantic Coast Conference is expected to show new signs of life, too. That is said with no disrespect toward last season's champion, Wake Forest, which provided one of the best story lines of 2007. The Demon Deacons begin this season in their customary position, overshadowed by the Virginia Techs, Miamis and Florida States.
It's not that Wake will find it difficult to duplicate its success in 2007 as much as the feeling that success engendered. Surprising success is the narcotic of sport. It never feels quite so euphoric the next time. Big East commissioner Mike Tranghese has figured this out. He refers to 2007, when a league looked down upon by fans and foes alike took three undefeated teams into November, as "Cinderella."
The fairy tale may be over, but the Big East has four genuine Heisman Trophy candidates in Louisville quarterback Brian Brohm, West Virginia tailback Steve Slaton and quarterback Pat White, and Rutgers tailback Ray Rice. Rutgers, as did Wake Forest and, of course, Boise State, proved last season that the have-nots in college football occasionally have quite a lot.
The Broncos' rousing 43-42 overtime victory over Oklahoma in the Fiesta Bowl has raised the profile of all schools in conferences that don't get automatic BCS bids. This season, TCU and Hawaii are the preseason favorites to burst through the BCS doors and earn an at-large bid. The Warriors return 14 starters from an 11-3 team, including quarterback Colt Brennan.
Brennan not only broke the single-season record with 58 touchdown passes in 2007, but he also led Division I-A in passing efficiency (186.0). The senior is expected to contend for the Heisman Trophy, and neither his success nor the rise of his team should come as any surprise in the 2007 season.
After all, Hawaii is the southernmost team in the country.
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March Madness odds and printable March Madness brackets
With the field of 64/65 set, MySportsbook.com has the Florida Gators as the 4-1 favorite to successfully defend their National Championship. Men’s Division-1 College Basketball has not seen a team repeat as National Champions since Duke won back to back championships in ’91 & ‘92. After losing three out of four late in the season, the Gators are full of momentum as they won their last four games by an average of 18 points. Not surprisingly, right behind the Gators are the other three top seeds: Kansas 5-1, UNC 6-1, and Ohio State 7-1. Many consider Kansas to be the hottest team in the country, having won 11 straight. With Kansas, it is hard to ignore all of the early exits from the “dance” in recent years. With an impressive ACC Tournament, UNC ensured themselves the other top seed. UNC has about as much talent as any other team in the tournament but with a team that’s best players are primarily freshman and sophomores, could youth be a concern. Behind freshman sensation, Greg Oden, OSU will look to do what their football team failed to do just a few months earlier. OSU seems to have peeked at the right time, as they currently have a 17 game winning streak. Since the tournament field was expanded in 1985, there has never been an instance where all four #1 seeds advanced to the Final Four. It is obvious that each of the top seeds have the talent to make it through to Atlanta. But as everyone knows, when makes the NCAA Tournament so special are all of the spoilers and “Cinderella” stories that knock off the favorites on a daily basis.
Be sure to logon to MySportsbook.com to see check out all of the early lines and “March Madness” props. Also be sure to enter the “$10,000,000 Perfect Bracket Contest”. If someone has the skills to predict every winner, they will be set for life and walk away with $10,000,000. Even if no one can cash in on the Grand Prize, with a $35,000 guaranteed prize pool and a Mazda RX-8 to the first prize winner, Sportsbook.com’s bracket is a must for all “March Madness” fans.
MySportsbook.com’s odds to win the Championship and Regions:
| EAST | National Championship | Region |
| Arkansas | 300-1 | 50-1 |
| Belmont | 1000-1 | |
| Boston College | 100-1 | 40-1 |
| Eastern KY | 1000-1 | |
| George Washington | 75-1 | |
| Georgetown | 10-1 | 3-2 |
| Marquette | 100-1 | 40-1 |
| Michigan State | 100-1 | 25-1 |
| New Mexico St. | 500-1 | 200-1 |
| UNC | 6-1 | 6-5 |
| Oral Roberts | 500-1 | |
| Texas | 15-1 | 5-1 |
| Texas Tech | 200-1 | 5-1 |
| USC | 75-1 | 20-1 |
| Vanderbilt | 100-1 | 30-1 |
| Washington State | 40-1 | 15-1 |
| WEST | ||
| Duke | 50-1 | 10-1 |
| Florida A&M | 1000-1 | |
| Gonzaga | 200-1 | 40-1 |
| Holy Cross | 300-1 | |
| Illinois | 300-1 | 60-1 |
| Indiana | 75-1 | 40-1 |
| Kansas | 5-1 | 13-10 |
| Kentucky | 100-1 | 40-1 |
| Niagara | 1000-1 | |
| Pittsburgh | 40-1 | 8-1 |
| Southern Ill. | 50-1 | 12-1 |
| UCLA | 10-1 | 3-2 |
| VCU | 500-1 | 100-1 |
| Villanova | 100-1 | 40-1 |
| VA Tech | 50-1 | 15-1 |
| Weber St | 1000-1 | |
| Wright St | 1000-1 | 300-1 |
| MIDWEST | ||
| Arizona | 50-1 | 30-1 |
| Butler | 40-1 | 30-1 |
| Davidson | 300-1 | |
| Florida | 4-1 | 4-5 |
| Georgia Tech | 75-1 | 25-1 |
| Jackson State | 1000-1 | |
| Maryland | 30-1 | 6-1 |
| Miami-OH | 300-1 | |
| Notre Dame | 100-1 | 20-1 |
| ODU | 500-1 | 100-1 |
| Oregon | 40-1 | 6-1 |
| Purdue | 300-1 | 60-1 |
| Texas A&M CC | 1000-1 | |
| UNLV | 100-1 | 30-1 |
| Winthrop | 500-1 | 100-1 |
| Wisconsin | 15-1 | 7-2 |
| SOUTH | ||
| Albany | 200-1 | |
| BYU | 200-1 | 40-1 |
| Central CT St. | 1000-1 | |
| Creighton | 100-1 | 35-1 |
| Long Beach St. | 500-1 | 200-1 |
| Louisville | 40-1 | 10-1 |
| Memphis | 30-1 | 4-1 |
| Nevada | 75-1 | 35-1 |
| North Texas | 500-1 | |
| Ohio State | 7-1 | 6-5 |
| Penn | 500-1 | |
| Stanford | 200-1 | 50-1 |
| Tennessee | 100-1 | 20-1 |
| Texas A&M | 12-1 | 11-5 |
| Virginia | 75-1 | 18-1 |
| Xavier | 100-1 | 40-1 |
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