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03/13/2010 - Indianapolis, IN (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - A chance to play in the Big Ten Conference Tournament championship game will be on the line this afternoon when the sixth-seeded Minnesota Golden Gophers take on the second-seeded Purdue Boilermakers in semifinal round action at the Conseco Fieldhouse.
The Golden Gophers began the tournament with a 76-55 victory over Penn State, and followed that with an impressive 72-67 overtime decision over Michigan State on Friday. Minnesota might be playing as the sixth seed, but the team has won six of its last eight games.
The sixth-ranked Boilermakers moved into the semifinal round with a solid, 69-61 victory over Northwestern on Friday. It was the 13th win in the last 14 games for Purdue, which is looking to repeat as the Big Ten Tournament champs.
The Boilermakers currently own a 95-78 edge over Minnesota in the all-time series and have won the last five meetings. This season Purdue narrowly defeated the Golden Gophers twice.
The Golden Gophers were not intimidated by the 14th-ranked Michigan State Spartans on Friday, and proved it by grabbing a five-point overtime victory to move into the semifinal round. Minnesota shot just 39.0 percent from the floor, but finished a solid 10-of-23 from behind the arc and also connected on 16-of-21 attempts from the foul line. Devoe Joseph led the way with 17 points, while Blake Hoffarber tallied 14 points. Colton Iverson and Lawrence Westbrook finished with 12 and 11 points, respectively, in the win. Westbrook comes into this matchup leading the Gophers with 12.7 ppg, while Hoffarber is contributing 10.6 ppg for Minnesota, which as a whole is netting 73.4 ppg.
The Boilermakers shot just 29.6 percent from the floor in the first half and went into the break down four points against Northwestern. However, Purdue stormed back in the second stanza and by the final buzzer the team had claimed an eight-point victory. The Boilermakers only shot 35.3 percent from the matchup, but connected on 29-of-39 attempts from the foul line. E'Twaun Moore poured in 28 points in the win, while JaJuan Johnson added 22 points and eight rebounds. Without Robbie Hummel on the floor, Moore has stepped up his production and comes into this contest averaging 17.0 ppg, to go along with 87 assists. As for Johnson, he is posting 15.1 ppg and a team-best 7.2 rpg for Purdue, which as a whole is producing a respectable 72.0 ppg.
<< Bobcats battle Zips for Mid-American Conference crown
Cleveland, OH (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Looking to claim their second consecutive
Mid-American Conference Tournament title, the third-seeded Akron Zips will
take the floor this evening against the ninth-seeded Ohio University Bobcats
at the Quicken Lo
<< Big Ten semifinals feature Buckeyes against Illini
Indianapolis, IN (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Semifinal round action in the Big Ten
Conference Tournament will begin this afternoon when the top-seeded Ohio State
Buckeyes battle the fifth-seeded Illinois Fighting Illini at Conseco
Fieldhouse.
The Fi
<< Jayhawks and Wildcats collide for Big 12 title
Kansas City, MO (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Bitter rivals meet in this evening's Big 12
Tournament Championship game, as the second-seeded and ninth-ranked Kansas
State Wildcats take aim at the top-seeded and No.1 ranked Kansas Jayhawks at
the Sprint Ce
<< Huskies and Coyotes square off for first-ever Great West title
Orem, UT (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - An automatic bid to the Collegeinsider.com
Tournament is on the line tonight as the Huskies of Houston Baptist challenge
the South Dakota Coyotes in the first-annual Great West Conference Tournament
Championship Game
Pac-10 title up for grabs in Los Angeles >>
Los Angeles, CA (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - The Pac-10 Tournament title is up for grabs
this evening, as the top-seeded California Golden Bears face off against the
third-seeded Washington Huskies in the finals at the Staples Center.
California, whic
Spiders attempt to snare Musketeers in A-10 semifinals >>
Atlantic City, NJ (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - The second-seeded and 24th-ranked Xavier
Musketeers do battle with the third-seeded Richmond Spiders in the semifinal
round of the Atlantic 10 Tournament today at Boardwalk Hall. The winner of
this game will
Tigers and Golden Lions collide for SWAC crown >>
Bossier City, LA (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - The Southwestern Athletic Conference
Tournament Championship game will take place this evening at the CenturyTel
Center, when the second-seeded Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions battle the
fifth-seeded Texas S
Utah State and New Mexico State battle for WAC supremacy >>
Reno, NV (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Top-seeded Utah State tries to make it back-to-
back Western Athletic Conference Tournament titles tonight as the squad
clashes with the New Mexico State Aggies in the 27th-annual event at the
Lawlor Events Center in
Michael Vick is back, Brett Favre isn't and the NFC East remains the best division in the NFC, maybe in all of football.
As players start to gather for the start of another season, some things change and some stay the same in the world of the NFL.
The NFC East has been the dominant division in the National Conference for a while, despite limited playoff success, save for the New York Giants surprise Super Bowl win two seasons ago.
Hell, there's a generation of kids in Texas who have never seen the Cowboys win a playoff game (last win was in 1996).
But collectively, the Giants, Eagles, Cowboys and Redskins (well, maybe not so much the Redskins) are as good as a division gets in an NFC conference that has struggled to stay competitive with the AFC side.
Sports bettors have both acknowledged the NFC East's dominance, as one glance at the NFL future odds menu will show.
Looking over the NFL betting odds at online sports book MySportsbook.com we see the top three teams listed to win the NFC Championship are all from the NFC East:
Dallas Cowboys - 7 - 1
Philadelphia Eagles - 13 - 2
New York Giants - 9 - 2
Slotting in behind these three are two teams from the NFC North: the Minnesota Vikings (15-2) and the Chicago Bears (10-1).
Again, despite the lack of recent playoff success, the Dallas Cowboys are popular with the sports betting community, as they hold 14% of all the money wagered on who will win the NFC Championship.
So far, the New York Giants are the bettors' favorite to represent their conference in the Super Bowl, as they have 24% of the overall NFC Championship betting volume.
And what about the Philadelphia Eagles? For the most part, the Eagles had a very productive offseason, the kind that could bring them back to the top.
They had a good draft adding the likes of WR Jeremy Maclin and RB LeSean McCoy.
Unfortunately, the team received a blow when long-time defensive coordinator Jim Johnson passed away on Tuesday.
But this team will make a real run at the division title this year. Going into the regular season, Philly is listed at +240 to win the division.
Last season the Eagles were 9-6-1 SU and 10-6 ATS.
Teams from the NFC East will play teams from the AFC West in the regular season and the Eagles haven't really been a good bet in the last 20 games against the likes of San Diego, Oakland, K.C. and Denver, only going 8-12 ATS.
Two seasons removed from that Super Bowl title, the New York Giants see themselves listed as the odds-on favorite in NFC East championship futures at +162.
Plaxico Burress is gone and with him all the bad publicity surrounding the gun in the sweatpants incident, but can they replace him in the offense?
Last season the Giants were a very reliable bet going 12-4 ATS.
In the Giants' last 20 games against fellow teams from the NFC East; they are 13-7 ATS.
Dallas is listed at +240 to win the division.
Dallas went 9-7 SU and 7-9 ATS last season and with the amount of talent the Cowboys have, a similar performance won't do.
The Cowboys have been atrocious against divisional rivals, going 6-14 ATS in their last 20.
The Washington Redskins are longshots to win the division at +550.
Visit MySportsbook.com for free sportsbook odds RSS feeds go to MySportsbook.com for all your betting football needs.
Recently I had an email debate with an angry reader who said I did not understand "the science of oddsmaking", as he called it.
He said I was wrong for suggesting oddsmakers care about who wins or loses games.
"Oddsmakers only care about splitting the betting public 50/50 on both sides of the line and keeping the commission (a.k.a. juice)," he wrote.
He might have been right about not understanding "the science of oddsmaking". After all, I'm not an oddsmaker. That said, I stick to my assertion that oddsmakers (a.k.a. sportbooks) often do care about who wins games.
Granted, as a general rule, sportsbooks try to balance their action so that they're not exposed to big losses. However, there are times when this is difficult to pull off, regardless of how much a line has moved. There are also times when that general rule is ignored and a book pursues risk.
Generally speaking, it's safe to say the books in Vegas are risk-adverse. Unlike in the past when the wise guys ruled the town, Vegas is now corporate and the goal of most casinos is to make as much money as possible with as little risk as possible.
Thus, Vegas sportsbooks try everything in their power to balance the action. They're satisfied simply collecting the juice. But these profits are small, especially compared to the take from other casino games, namely slot machines.
Because the profits at Vegas sportsbooks are so small, you could argue that many casinos operate sportsbooks simply as a novelty to keep the tourists happy.
With a growing aversion to risk, it should come as no surprise that Vegas bookmakers have been panicking this NFL season.
Despite huge pointspreads, a disproportionate percentage of bettors are still laying their money on favorites like the Eagles, Colts, Pats and Vikings rather than the dogs (a common trend for the largely recreational bettors that visit Vegas).
And much to the dismay of the books, those favorites are finding ways to cover the thick chalk. In fact, prior to Week 7, the four teams listed above are a combined 16-2-2 (88 percent) against the spread. (The tables turned dramatically in Week 7, but more on that later.)
The result has been an early-season beating for the books, and a bonanza for bettors.
While Vegas increasingly hates risk, it's no longer a major player in the sports betting world. Most of the betting action now takes place offshore where sportsbooks are not as obsessed about balance. In fact, some books encourage exposure to risk because the rewards can be so much bigger.
Consider MySportsbook.com. On its website, the book has odds pages which actually display the amount of action it's getting on games. In other words, you can see how much action the book is taking on both sides of a pointspread, moneyline or over/under.
One look at these numbers and it's obvious MySportsbook.com does not balance every game. In fact, far from it.
Take last weekend's matchup between St. Louis and Miami. By game time on Sunday, 83 percent of the betting action at MySportsbook.com was on the Rams; only 17 percent was on Miami.
What's interesting is that MySportsbook.com opened the pointspread with Miami at +6 1/2. By game time, the spread had lowered to +5.
That goes contrary to the balancing theory. If MySportsbook.com had wanted to balance the action, it would have given Miami more points; instead, it took away 1 1/2. World Series odds are now up as well.
MySportsbook.com exposed itself to even more to risk, and rolled the dice on the underdog Dolphins. Why? I contacted a representative with the book to find out. His answer was simple.
"The line moved early based on 'smart money' from sharp players," said Jeff Gilroy, a spokesperson for the book. "We also knew from early in the week that we would need Miami, therefore (we dropped) the spread to encourage Rams money.
"At the end of the day, we liked the home team."
So the conclusion is this: MySportsbook.com respected the sharp action, and gambled that the sharp bettors had a better take on the game than the recreational bettors, who were hammering the visiting Rams.
In the end, the gamble paid off. Miami, desperate for a win in front of its home fans, pounded the overrated Rams, who are terrible on the road and even worse on grass. Final score: 31-14 Fish.
MySportsbook.com was also heavily exposed on numerous favorites in Week 7, including Philadelphia, Seattle and Denver. All three failed to cover.
The fact that sportsbooks are exposed to risk on certain games is really nothing new. The fact, that Sportsbook.com is willing to show the public where it's exposed is intriguing.
Armed with this type of information, bettors can make more educated wagers. They can get an idea where the sharp money is going and conversely where the public money is headed.
MySportsbook.com is opening up its cashbox, letting bettors look inside and challenging them to take their best shot at grabbing the cash.
To visit this online football betting got to MySportsbook.com for all your football betting odds needs. Mysportsbook.com online sportsbook accepts Visa and Mastercard credit cards.
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